(Source: published in NEXUS magazine October-November 2013, edited from Russia Today.com,20 August 2013, http://tinyurl.com/koboodk)
Just after the Fukushima catastrophe, I made a calculation and a prediction based on the scientific model of the European Committee on Radiation Risk [ECRR] presented it at the German Society for Radiation Protection/ECRR conference in Berlin in May 2011. This showed that there would be some 200,000 extra cancers in a roughly10 million population in the200-kilometre radius of the sit in the next 10 years, and 400,000 over 50 years. The current risk model adhered to and employed by the Japanees government is that of the International Commission on Radiological Protection, ICRP. This predicts that no detectable cancers will be seen as a result of the “very low doses” received bythe population.
It is this nonsense that allows them to say it is safe to live in contaminated areas, so long as the annual “dose” is lower than about 20 mSv/y, and to refuse to evacuate the children from such places.
It was reported recently that a survey of thyroid conditions in young people aged 0-18 by Fukushima Medical University found 12 confirmed cases and 15 suspected cases of thyroid cancer in 178,000 individuals screened. This is in a two-year period. The 2005 Japanese national incidence rate for thyroid cancer for ages0-18 is given in a recent peer-reviewed report as 0.0% per 100,000. That is to say, there are no cases.
The Japan Times tells us: “Researchers at Fukushima Medical University, which has been talking the leading role in the study, have said they do not believe the most recent cases are related to the nuclear crisis.”
The United Nations Scientific Committee on the effects of Atomic Radiation, UNSEAR, would agree, also the World Health Organization (Since 1959, part of the International Atomic Energy Agency [IAEA] as far as research into radiation and health is concerned). On the basis of the ICRP model, you would not expect(says radiation and healthsupremo Dr. Wolfgang Weiss) to see what is clearly happening: an accelerating thyroid cancer epidemic worse than and earlier than the Chernobyl thyroid cancer epidemic.
It is one more piece of evidence that the current ICRP risk model employed by the Japanese (and all other world governments) is totally wrong and unsafe and must urgently be abandoned. Internal radiation exposure as the ECRR approach shows, cannot be assessed by the simple concept of “absorbed dose”.
Weiss and the other radiation agency apparatchiks well know that the ICRPand the other global radiation protection agencies UNSCEAR, IAEA and WHO are run by people(like themselves) who are not experts on internal radiation pollution and health, and rarely have any real hands-on research expertise. They rely exclusively on the Hiroshima bomb studies which ignored internal radiation, the black rainof uranium that affected the controls outside the city and the control entrants after the bomb.
As more evidence emerges from this ghastly inadvertent Fukushima experiment, we will see more and more that we have governments and radiation agencies which are wielding unsafe and incorrect scientific assessments of reality. Additionally, we have what might become one of the most serious global public health events of human history being overseen by a private profit-making company, TEPCO with no good track record of competence or believability.
Radiation can pose bigger cancer risk for children – UN study ＵＮ報告：子供のほうが、放射能によりがんになる危険性が高い http://fukushimaappeal.blogspot.co.uk/2013/10/radiation-can-pose-bigger-cancer-risk_27.html
[Breaking] 18 Fukushima children diagnosed with thyroid cancer / 44 malignant cases reported http://fukushima-diary.com/2013/08/breaking-18-fukushima-children-diagnosed-with-thyroid-cancer-44-malignant-cases-reported/